Can John McCain gear up to Win? The clock is ticking.

[ytowner]

I'd love to know why you think this is such a critical time for John McCain. He is in a statistical tie with Barack Obama as he is within the margin of error in every poll out there. If you study the electoral maps, it truly comes down to Ohio-Michigan-Missouri-Pennsylvania. Whoever can win 3/4 states will likely win the election.

I understand that the liberal media says McCain does not stand a chance, but he has a great shot to win this since he is so attractive to the Reagan Democrats, which were Hillary's #1 supporters. And we all know 3 of those 4 states I mentioned are where the Reagan Democrats are located!

[Frank Bellamy, MAP Masters of Applied Politics]

Can John McCain gear up to Win? The clock is ticking.

Mr. McCain is nearing a critical point in his campaign now and if he can’t pull the noise-up in a quick fashion, this 2008 Presidential Election momentum will be all Obama.

OR

Will the powerful reach of Conservative Radio help McCain pull off a last minute victory?

OR

The 2008 presidential election will be interesting to examine the effect of the polling error “Political Correctness” by polling respondents when asked; “Will you vote for Obama even though he a Black man?”   Aka; the Bradley Effect

Bradley effect
From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

The term Bradley effect or Wilder effect refers to an explanation advanced as the possible cause of a phenomenon which has led to inaccurate voter opinion polls in some American political campaigns between a white candidate and a non-white candidate.


The name Bradley effect is derived from a 1982 campaign involving Tom Bradley, the long-time mayor of Los Angeles, California.

Bradley, who was black, ran as the Democratic party's candidate for Governor of California against Republican candidate George Deukmejian, who was white. The polls on the final days before the election consistently showed Bradley with a lead.

In fact, based on exit polls on Election Day, a number of media outlets projected a Bradley win that night; early editions of the next day's San Francisco Chronicle featured a headline proclaiming "BRADLEY WIN PROJECTED".

However, Bradley narrowly lost the race. Post-election research indicated that a smaller percentage of white voters actually voted for Bradley than polls had predicted, and that voters who had been classified by those polls as "undecided" had gone to Deukmejian in statistically anomalous numbers.

One month prior to the election, Bill Roberts, Deukmejian's campaign manager at that time, had predicted this behavior. He told reporters that he expected that Deukmejian could advance approximately five percentage points from what his poll numbers indicated, due to white voters giving inaccurate polling responses in order to conceal a racial prejudice.

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